Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean—evident in recent presidential and Senate results—and early polling edges for primary frontrunners Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (leading Angie Craig) and Rep. Angie Craig. February Emerson and other surveys show both Democrats ahead of Republican leader Michele Tafoya by 7 points amid a crowded GOP primary lacking top recruits like Rep. Tom Emmer. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with forecasters unanimously rating it Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Shifts could arise from a consolidated GOP nominee, national midterm tailwinds, scandals, or turnout swings in battleground suburbs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,328 वॉल्यूम
$20,328 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
7%
$20,328 वॉल्यूम
$20,328 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democrat
$14,700 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican
$5,628 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean—evident in recent presidential and Senate results—and early polling edges for primary frontrunners Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (leading Angie Craig) and Rep. Angie Craig. February Emerson and other surveys show both Democrats ahead of Republican leader Michele Tafoya by 7 points amid a crowded GOP primary lacking top recruits like Rep. Tom Emmer. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with forecasters unanimously rating it Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Shifts could arise from a consolidated GOP nominee, national midterm tailwinds, scandals, or turnout swings in battleground suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,328समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean—evident in recent presidential and Senate results—and early polling edges for primary frontrunners Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (leading Angie Craig) and Rep. Angie Craig. February Emerson and other surveys show both Democrats ahead of Republican leader Michele Tafoya by 7 points amid a crowded GOP primary lacking top recruits like Rep. Tom Emmer. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with forecasters unanimously rating it Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Shifts could arise from a consolidated GOP nominee, national midterm tailwinds, scandals, or turnout swings in battleground suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$20,328समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean—evident in recent presidential and Senate results—and early polling edges for primary frontrunners Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (leading Angie Craig) and Rep. Angie Craig. February Emerson and other surveys show both Democrats ahead of Republican leader Michele Tafoya by 7 points amid a crowded GOP primary lacking top recruits like Rep. Tom Emmer. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with forecasters unanimously rating it Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Shifts could arise from a consolidated GOP nominee, national midterm tailwinds, scandals, or turnout swings in battleground suburbs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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