Polymarket traders price Q1 2026 US GDP growth with tight clustering around 1.0–2.5% ranges, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid divergent Fed nowcasts—Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 1.3% as of April 9 after widening trade deficits and softer personal consumption data offset manufacturing gains, versus New York Fed's 2.3% through April 10. March nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000 with unemployment steady at 4.3%, bolstering consumer spending outlooks, but retail sales weakness and ISM manufacturing at 52.7 signal moderation. Key swing factors include net exports drag and final consumption revisions ahead of the April 30 BEA advance estimate, underscoring uncertainty in subcomponent contributions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
Q1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
1.5–2.0% 21.9%
1.0–1.5% 19.3%
2.0–2.5% 19.3%
2.5–3.0% 14.6%
$309,796 वॉल्यूम
$309,796 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
13%
1.0–1.5%
19%
1.5–2.0%
22%
2.0–2.5%
19%
2.5–3.0%
15%
3.0–3.5%
8%
≥3.5%
6%
1.5–2.0% 21.9%
1.0–1.5% 19.3%
2.0–2.5% 19.3%
2.5–3.0% 14.6%
$309,796 वॉल्यूम
$309,796 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
$30,326 वॉल्यूम
13%
1.0–1.5%
$7,821 वॉल्यूम
19%
1.5–2.0%
$30,729 वॉल्यूम
22%
2.0–2.5%
$44,815 वॉल्यूम
19%
2.5–3.0%
$25,975 वॉल्यूम
15%
3.0–3.5%
$93,458 वॉल्यूम
8%
≥3.5%
$76,673 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Polymarket traders price Q1 2026 US GDP growth with tight clustering around 1.0–2.5% ranges, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid divergent Fed nowcasts—Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 1.3% as of April 9 after widening trade deficits and softer personal consumption data offset manufacturing gains, versus New York Fed's 2.3% through April 10. March nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000 with unemployment steady at 4.3%, bolstering consumer spending outlooks, but retail sales weakness and ISM manufacturing at 52.7 signal moderation. Key swing factors include net exports drag and final consumption revisions ahead of the April 30 BEA advance estimate, underscoring uncertainty in subcomponent contributions.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$309,796समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Polymarket traders price Q1 2026 US GDP growth with tight clustering around 1.0–2.5% ranges, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid divergent Fed nowcasts—Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 1.3% as of April 9 after widening trade deficits and softer personal consumption data offset manufacturing gains, versus New York Fed's 2.3% through April 10. March nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000 with unemployment steady at 4.3%, bolstering consumer spending outlooks, but retail sales weakness and ISM manufacturing at 52.7 signal moderation. Key swing factors include net exports drag and final consumption revisions ahead of the April 30 BEA advance estimate, underscoring uncertainty in subcomponent contributions.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
वॉल्यूम
$309,796समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Q1 2026 US GDP growth with tight clustering around 1.0–2.5% ranges, reflecting fragmented sentiment amid divergent Fed nowcasts—Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 1.3% as of April 9 after widening trade deficits and softer personal consumption data offset manufacturing gains, versus New York Fed's 2.3% through April 10. March nonfarm payrolls rebounded to +178,000 with unemployment steady at 4.3%, bolstering consumer spending outlooks, but retail sales weakness and ISM manufacturing at 52.7 signal moderation. Key swing factors include net exports drag and final consumption revisions ahead of the April 30 BEA advance estimate, underscoring uncertainty in subcomponent contributions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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