The closely contested fight for House control, with Democrats holding generic ballot advantages and Republicans defending narrow majorities, anchors trader expectations for 2026 midterm House turnout in the 115-130 million range. Recent Democratic primary surges signal elevated base engagement, while Republican efforts target infrequent and working-class voters through refined data and outreach. Economic pressures including affordability and gas prices, alongside presidential approval trends near 45%, create uncertainty over whether opposition energy or coalition mobilization will drive higher participation. Expanded mail and early voting options provide a structural floor above historical lows, yet youth registration gains remain modest and final separation hinges on late-cycle enthusiasm and ground efforts in battleground districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
110-115m 18%
120-125m 17%
$29,129 Vol.
$29,129 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
17%
125-130m
23%
130m+
4%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
110-115m 18%
120-125m 17%
$29,129 Vol.
$29,129 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
$603 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$609 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,727 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,225 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
6%
110-115m
$4,892 Vol.
18%
115-120m
$4,697 Vol.
21%
120-125m
$9,264 Vol.
17%
125-130m
$3,357 Vol.
23%
130m+
$1,445 Vol.
4%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested fight for House control, with Democrats holding generic ballot advantages and Republicans defending narrow majorities, anchors trader expectations for 2026 midterm House turnout in the 115-130 million range. Recent Democratic primary surges signal elevated base engagement, while Republican efforts target infrequent and working-class voters through refined data and outreach. Economic pressures including affordability and gas prices, alongside presidential approval trends near 45%, create uncertainty over whether opposition energy or coalition mobilization will drive higher participation. Expanded mail and early voting options provide a structural floor above historical lows, yet youth registration gains remain modest and final separation hinges on late-cycle enthusiasm and ground efforts in battleground districts.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$29,129Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested fight for House control, with Democrats holding generic ballot advantages and Republicans defending narrow majorities, anchors trader expectations for 2026 midterm House turnout in the 115-130 million range. Recent Democratic primary surges signal elevated base engagement, while Republican efforts target infrequent and working-class voters through refined data and outreach. Economic pressures including affordability and gas prices, alongside presidential approval trends near 45%, create uncertainty over whether opposition energy or coalition mobilization will drive higher participation. Expanded mail and early voting options provide a structural floor above historical lows, yet youth registration gains remain modest and final separation hinges on late-cycle enthusiasm and ground efforts in battleground districts.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$29,129Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested fight for House control, with Democrats holding generic ballot advantages and Republicans defending narrow majorities, anchors trader expectations for 2026 midterm House turnout in the 115-130 million range. Recent Democratic primary surges signal elevated base engagement, while Republican efforts target infrequent and working-class voters through refined data and outreach. Economic pressures including affordability and gas prices, alongside presidential approval trends near 45%, create uncertainty over whether opposition energy or coalition mobilization will drive higher participation. Expanded mail and early voting options provide a structural floor above historical lows, yet youth registration gains remain modest and final separation hinges on late-cycle enthusiasm and ground efforts in battleground districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il Partito Democratico vincerà il voto popolare nelle elezioni di metà mandato della Camera dei Rappresentanti degli Stati Uniti del 2026 con un margine tra l'8% e il 10%?
28%
Sì
Le elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 si terranno come previsto?
98%
Sì
Il Partito Democratico vincerà il seggio della Camera dell'OR-01?
96%
Sì
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