Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 16 aprile?
15°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 Vol.
$66,336 Vol.
16 apr 2026
10°C o inferiore
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Sì
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 Vol.
$66,336 Vol.
16 apr 2026
10°C o inferiore
$2,845 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,176 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,855 Vol.
No
13°C
$8,578 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,090 Vol.
No
15°C
$12,021 Vol.
Sì
16°C
$8,383 Vol.
No
17°C
$9,383 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,862 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,907 Vol.
No
20°C o superiore
$3,236 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$66,336Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,336Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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