**Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Peru's newly bicameral Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election.** Exit polls from Datum and Ipsos, alongside preliminary ONPE counts amid logistical delays affecting tens of thousands of voters, project FP winning around 44 of 130 seats—more than double Juntos por el Perú (22) or Renovación Popular (20)—aligning with pre-election polling where FP led congressional projections and presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori topped the first-round vote at about 17%, headed to a June 7 runoff. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects FP's broad appeal amid voter fatigue with instability, though official certification by the JNE remains pending; rare shifts could arise from recounts, fraud challenges, or district-level disputes overturning quick-count leads.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Deputati del Perù
Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera dei Deputati del Perù
FP 99.5%
JP <1%
RP <1%
PL <1%
$132,787 Vol.
$132,787 Vol.
12 apr 2026
FP
100%
JP
<1%
RP
<1%
PL
<1%
APP
<1%
SP
<1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
AvP
<1%
FP 99.5%
JP <1%
RP <1%
PL <1%
$132,787 Vol.
$132,787 Vol.
12 apr 2026
FP
$56,436 Vol.
100%
JP
$20,029 Vol.
<1%
RP
$19,339 Vol.
<1%
PL
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
APP
$11,088 Vol.
<1%
SP
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
PP
$3,531 Vol.
<1%
AP
$10,048 Vol.
<1%
AvP
$3,496 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).**Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Peru's newly bicameral Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election.** Exit polls from Datum and Ipsos, alongside preliminary ONPE counts amid logistical delays affecting tens of thousands of voters, project FP winning around 44 of 130 seats—more than double Juntos por el Perú (22) or Renovación Popular (20)—aligning with pre-election polling where FP led congressional projections and presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori topped the first-round vote at about 17%, headed to a June 7 runoff. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects FP's broad appeal amid voter fatigue with instability, though official certification by the JNE remains pending; rare shifts could arise from recounts, fraud challenges, or district-level disputes overturning quick-count leads.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$132,787Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).**Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Peru's newly bicameral Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election.** Exit polls from Datum and Ipsos, alongside preliminary ONPE counts amid logistical delays affecting tens of thousands of voters, project FP winning around 44 of 130 seats—more than double Juntos por el Perú (22) or Renovación Popular (20)—aligning with pre-election polling where FP led congressional projections and presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori topped the first-round vote at about 17%, headed to a June 7 runoff. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects FP's broad appeal amid voter fatigue with instability, though official certification by the JNE remains pending; rare shifts could arise from recounts, fraud challenges, or district-level disputes overturning quick-count leads.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$132,787Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Peru's newly bicameral Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election.** Exit polls from Datum and Ipsos, alongside preliminary ONPE counts amid logistical delays affecting tens of thousands of voters, project FP winning around 44 of 130 seats—more than double Juntos por el Perú (22) or Renovación Popular (20)—aligning with pre-election polling where FP led congressional projections and presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori topped the first-round vote at about 17%, headed to a June 7 runoff. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects FP's broad appeal amid voter fatigue with instability, though official certification by the JNE remains pending; rare shifts could arise from recounts, fraud challenges, or district-level disputes overturning quick-count leads.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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