Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.7%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,499,574 Vol.
$5,499,574 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.7%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.2%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,499,574 Vol.
$5,499,574 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,512,607 Vol.
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$497,762 Vol.
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$2,133,822 Vol.
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$368,849 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$331,385 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$364,113 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$291,034 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,499,574Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,499,574Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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