Trader consensus positions United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leveraging its incumbency with 324 of 450 current seats, administrative resources, and strong showings in recent regional votes and April primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People surging to 12.3%—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for third place amid voter discontent over messaging app bans and mobile internet issues—elevating its odds as permitted opposition challenging the parallel voting system of 225 proportional list seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-mandate districts. Lower probabilities for LDPR, KPRF, and others reflect stagnant support, with no major shifts in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,495,391 Vol.
$5,495,391 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 65%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 29.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,495,391 Vol.
$5,495,391 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,511,746 Vol.
65%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$497,366 Vol.
30%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$2,132,488 Vol.
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$368,698 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$331,234 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$363,962 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$290,872 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus positions United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leveraging its incumbency with 324 of 450 current seats, administrative resources, and strong showings in recent regional votes and April primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People surging to 12.3%—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for third place amid voter discontent over messaging app bans and mobile internet issues—elevating its odds as permitted opposition challenging the parallel voting system of 225 proportional list seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-mandate districts. Lower probabilities for LDPR, KPRF, and others reflect stagnant support, with no major shifts in the past week.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,495,391Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus positions United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leveraging its incumbency with 324 of 450 current seats, administrative resources, and strong showings in recent regional votes and April primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People surging to 12.3%—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for third place amid voter discontent over messaging app bans and mobile internet issues—elevating its odds as permitted opposition challenging the parallel voting system of 225 proportional list seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-mandate districts. Lower probabilities for LDPR, KPRF, and others reflect stagnant support, with no major shifts in the past week.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,495,391Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, leveraging its incumbency with 324 of 450 current seats, administrative resources, and strong showings in recent regional votes and April primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates. Recent VTsIOM polling shows New People surging to 12.3%—overtaking LDPR and KPRF for third place amid voter discontent over messaging app bans and mobile internet issues—elevating its odds as permitted opposition challenging the parallel voting system of 225 proportional list seats (5% threshold) and 225 single-mandate districts. Lower probabilities for LDPR, KPRF, and others reflect stagnant support, with no major shifts in the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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