US forces struck over 90 military targets—including missile bunkers, radar stations, and naval facilities—on Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil export hub handling 90% of its crude shipments, as recently as April 7, 2026, amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict over a Strait of Hormuz blockade. US Central Command explicitly stated oil infrastructure was spared to avoid broader energy disruptions, despite Iranian reports of explosions nearby and retaliatory drone strikes on UAE's Fujairah port. President Trump's threats of additional military action persist without confirmed terminal damage, driving trader consensus toward low probabilities for a direct kinetic hit, though miscalculation risks or further escalation could shift dynamics ahead of ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,965,699 Vol.
15 apr 2026
15 aprile
<1%
30 aprile
7%
$1,965,699 Vol.
15 aprile
$784,788 Vol.
<1%
30 aprile
$430,616 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces struck over 90 military targets—including missile bunkers, radar stations, and naval facilities—on Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil export hub handling 90% of its crude shipments, as recently as April 7, 2026, amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict over a Strait of Hormuz blockade. US Central Command explicitly stated oil infrastructure was spared to avoid broader energy disruptions, despite Iranian reports of explosions nearby and retaliatory drone strikes on UAE's Fujairah port. President Trump's threats of additional military action persist without confirmed terminal damage, driving trader consensus toward low probabilities for a direct kinetic hit, though miscalculation risks or further escalation could shift dynamics ahead of ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,965,699Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces struck over 90 military targets—including missile bunkers, radar stations, and naval facilities—on Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil export hub handling 90% of its crude shipments, as recently as April 7, 2026, amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict over a Strait of Hormuz blockade. US Central Command explicitly stated oil infrastructure was spared to avoid broader energy disruptions, despite Iranian reports of explosions nearby and retaliatory drone strikes on UAE's Fujairah port. President Trump's threats of additional military action persist without confirmed terminal damage, driving trader consensus toward low probabilities for a direct kinetic hit, though miscalculation risks or further escalation could shift dynamics ahead of ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,965,699Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces struck over 90 military targets—including missile bunkers, radar stations, and naval facilities—on Kharg Island, Iran's key Persian Gulf oil export hub handling 90% of its crude shipments, as recently as April 7, 2026, amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict over a Strait of Hormuz blockade. US Central Command explicitly stated oil infrastructure was spared to avoid broader energy disruptions, despite Iranian reports of explosions nearby and retaliatory drone strikes on UAE's Fujairah port. President Trump's threats of additional military action persist without confirmed terminal damage, driving trader consensus toward low probabilities for a direct kinetic hit, though miscalculation risks or further escalation could shift dynamics ahead of ongoing diplomatic deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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