Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
26°C or below
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
20%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 20%
27°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
26°C or below
$240 거래량
30%
27°C
$142 거래량
19%
28°C
$150 거래량
20%
29°C
$144 거래량
23%
30°C
$217 거래량
13%
31°C
$130 거래량
12%
32°C
$398 거래량
2%
33°C
$195 거래량
2%
34°C
$374 거래량
1%
35°C
$442 거래량
1%
36°C or higher
$486 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$2,920종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,920종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Guangzhou's highest temperature for April 17, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 26–29°C (collectively ~95%), driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent cloudy skies and 80–85% humidity. Recent days, including April 14's observed 24–30°C range under cloudy conditions per Hong Kong Observatory bulletins, highlight southerly monsoon flow suppressing peaks via reduced solar insolation, though urban heat island effects add variability. April climatology averages 26°C highs with frequent showers; model spreads hinge on afternoon cloud evolution and shower timing, with CMA's next 00Z update potentially clarifying diurnal peaks before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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