Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flow and above-average spring temperatures (April norm ~16°C), driving trader consensus with 20°C and 21°C nearly tied at over 60% combined implied probability. The close contest stems from 1-2°C spreads in model runs, primarily due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover timing—which could reduce insolation—and boundary layer mixing efficiency amid light winds (4-13 km/h south). BBC guidance aligns at 22°C with light clouds, while GFS variants show slight cool biases. Hourly observations from Paris stations will sharpen clarity as the day unfolds, with resolution based on official airport maxima.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
20°C 32%
21°C 29%
22°C 23%
19°C 11%
$20,549 거래량
$20,549 거래량
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
32%
21°C
29%
22°C
23%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 32%
21°C 29%
22°C 23%
19°C 11%
$20,549 거래량
$20,549 거래량
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
32%
21°C
29%
22°C
23%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Paris highs near 20-21°C on April 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flow and above-average spring temperatures (April norm ~16°C), driving trader consensus with 20°C and 21°C nearly tied at over 60% combined implied probability. The close contest stems from 1-2°C spreads in model runs, primarily due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover timing—which could reduce insolation—and boundary layer mixing efficiency amid light winds (4-13 km/h south). BBC guidance aligns at 22°C with light clouds, while GFS variants show slight cool biases. Hourly observations from Paris stations will sharpen clarity as the day unfolds, with resolution based on official airport maxima.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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