Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 35%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
17°C or higher 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
25%
15°C
35%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
12%
15°C 35%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
17°C or higher 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
7°C or below
$844 거래량
<1%
8°C
$1,338 거래량
<1%
9°C
$1,646 거래량
<1%
10°C
$760 거래량
1%
11°C
$1,175 거래량
1%
12°C
$635 거래량
4%
13°C
$1,127 거래량
8%
14°C
$474 거래량
25%
15°C
$343 거래량
35%
16°C
$572 거래량
26%
17°C or higher
$732 거래량
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
거래량
$9,638종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$9,638종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문