Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid overlapping conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and a U.S.-backed war with Iran that began in late February 2026, providing a temporary polling boost to his Likud party but falling short of a Knesset majority in recent surveys. Traders weigh his coalition's push to pass a state budget and avert snap elections before the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote, where opposition blocs hold pluralities. Fresh developments include Israel's agreement to a Lebanon ceasefire on April 16, direct negotiations for Hezbollah disarmament announced April 9, and Netanyahu's April 13 government remarks claiming progress against Iran. Ongoing diplomatic talks and war fatigue could pressure stability, with no-confidence votes or coalition fractures as key risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$117,325,334 거래량
2026.12.31
4월 30일
1%
6월 30일
6%
12월 31일
44%
$117,325,334 거래량
4월 30일
$7,928,108 거래량
1%
6월 30일
$4,034,042 거래량
6%
12월 31일
$1,157,407 거래량
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid overlapping conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and a U.S.-backed war with Iran that began in late February 2026, providing a temporary polling boost to his Likud party but falling short of a Knesset majority in recent surveys. Traders weigh his coalition's push to pass a state budget and avert snap elections before the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote, where opposition blocs hold pluralities. Fresh developments include Israel's agreement to a Lebanon ceasefire on April 16, direct negotiations for Hezbollah disarmament announced April 9, and Netanyahu's April 13 government remarks claiming progress against Iran. Ongoing diplomatic talks and war fatigue could pressure stability, with no-confidence votes or coalition fractures as key risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
거래량
$117,325,334종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid overlapping conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and a U.S.-backed war with Iran that began in late February 2026, providing a temporary polling boost to his Likud party but falling short of a Knesset majority in recent surveys. Traders weigh his coalition's push to pass a state budget and avert snap elections before the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote, where opposition blocs hold pluralities. Fresh developments include Israel's agreement to a Lebanon ceasefire on April 16, direct negotiations for Hezbollah disarmament announced April 9, and Netanyahu's April 13 government remarks claiming progress against Iran. Ongoing diplomatic talks and war fatigue could pressure stability, with no-confidence votes or coalition fractures as key risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$117,325,334종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid overlapping conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and a U.S.-backed war with Iran that began in late February 2026, providing a temporary polling boost to his Likud party but falling short of a Knesset majority in recent surveys. Traders weigh his coalition's push to pass a state budget and avert snap elections before the scheduled October 2026 legislative vote, where opposition blocs hold pluralities. Fresh developments include Israel's agreement to a Lebanon ceasefire on April 16, direct negotiations for Hezbollah disarmament announced April 9, and Netanyahu's April 13 government remarks claiming progress against Iran. Ongoing diplomatic talks and war fatigue could pressure stability, with no-confidence votes or coalition fractures as key risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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