Oklahoma's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1990, underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 92%, reflecting historical base rates and the state's consistent red shift exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Attorney General Gentner Drummond, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Senator Mike Mazzei—finalized last week with 15 total candidates, shows fragmented but viable GOP contenders per recent polls like a Calvin Coolidge survey giving Mazzei a 41% lead. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner amid weak polling. GOP primary on June 16 could consolidate support, though a nominee scandal, legal challenge, or unforeseen Democratic surge might shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,925 거래량
$14,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
92%
Democrat
7%
$14,925 거래량
$14,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
$5,867 거래량
92%
Democrat
$9,058 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1990, underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 92%, reflecting historical base rates and the state's consistent red shift exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Attorney General Gentner Drummond, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Senator Mike Mazzei—finalized last week with 15 total candidates, shows fragmented but viable GOP contenders per recent polls like a Calvin Coolidge survey giving Mazzei a 41% lead. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner amid weak polling. GOP primary on June 16 could consolidate support, though a nominee scandal, legal challenge, or unforeseen Democratic surge might shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$14,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1990, underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 92%, reflecting historical base rates and the state's consistent red shift exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Attorney General Gentner Drummond, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Senator Mike Mazzei—finalized last week with 15 total candidates, shows fragmented but viable GOP contenders per recent polls like a Calvin Coolidge survey giving Mazzei a 41% lead. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner amid weak polling. GOP primary on June 16 could consolidate support, though a nominee scandal, legal challenge, or unforeseen Democratic surge might shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$14,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1990, underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 92%, reflecting historical base rates and the state's consistent red shift exceeding 20 points in recent presidential contests. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but a crowded Republican primary field—including Attorney General Gentner Drummond, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Senator Mike Mazzei—finalized last week with 15 total candidates, shows fragmented but viable GOP contenders per recent polls like a Calvin Coolidge survey giving Mazzei a 41% lead. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner amid weak polling. GOP primary on June 16 could consolidate support, though a nominee scandal, legal challenge, or unforeseen Democratic surge might shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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