QatarEnergy halted LNG production at its Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in early March 2026 following Iranian missile and drone attacks amid escalating U.S.-Israeli-Iran tensions, declaring force majeure and estimating weeks for gradual restarts to prevent equipment damage, with 17% of capacity potentially offline for three to five years per CEO statements. A ceasefire enabled mobilization of engineers by April 8, but no official announcement or resumption of production in Qatar has occurred as of mid-April, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of "No" by April 30. Extensive damage assessments and safety protocols continue to delay full operations, outweighing preparatory progress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$81,138 거래량
$81,138 거래량
예
$81,138 거래량
$81,138 거래량
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy halted LNG production at its Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in early March 2026 following Iranian missile and drone attacks amid escalating U.S.-Israeli-Iran tensions, declaring force majeure and estimating weeks for gradual restarts to prevent equipment damage, with 17% of capacity potentially offline for three to five years per CEO statements. A ceasefire enabled mobilization of engineers by April 8, but no official announcement or resumption of production in Qatar has occurred as of mid-April, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of "No" by April 30. Extensive damage assessments and safety protocols continue to delay full operations, outweighing preparatory progress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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