Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% due to formidable constitutional, diplomatic, and political barriers to admitting Venezuela as the 51st state, as no formal annexation process has advanced since President Trump's offhand March 17 Truth Social quip—praising Venezuela's World Baseball Classic upset over Italy—which sparked the market but elicited no legislative follow-through. Article IV, Section 3 requires congressional approval and typically a territory's petition, neither feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's regime rejecting U.S. overtures and international law prohibiting non-consensual annexation of a sovereign nation with 28 million people. Absent regime change via election or intervention (separate markets price U.S. invasion below 15% by year-end), economic incentives like oil reserves remain outweighed by integration complexities; no bills or hearings are scheduled before December 31 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$131,530 거래량
$131,530 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$131,530 거래량
$131,530 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% due to formidable constitutional, diplomatic, and political barriers to admitting Venezuela as the 51st state, as no formal annexation process has advanced since President Trump's offhand March 17 Truth Social quip—praising Venezuela's World Baseball Classic upset over Italy—which sparked the market but elicited no legislative follow-through. Article IV, Section 3 requires congressional approval and typically a territory's petition, neither feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's regime rejecting U.S. overtures and international law prohibiting non-consensual annexation of a sovereign nation with 28 million people. Absent regime change via election or intervention (separate markets price U.S. invasion below 15% by year-end), economic incentives like oil reserves remain outweighed by integration complexities; no bills or hearings are scheduled before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
거래량
$131,530종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% due to formidable constitutional, diplomatic, and political barriers to admitting Venezuela as the 51st state, as no formal annexation process has advanced since President Trump's offhand March 17 Truth Social quip—praising Venezuela's World Baseball Classic upset over Italy—which sparked the market but elicited no legislative follow-through. Article IV, Section 3 requires congressional approval and typically a territory's petition, neither feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's regime rejecting U.S. overtures and international law prohibiting non-consensual annexation of a sovereign nation with 28 million people. Absent regime change via election or intervention (separate markets price U.S. invasion below 15% by year-end), economic incentives like oil reserves remain outweighed by integration complexities; no bills or hearings are scheduled before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$131,530종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.5% due to formidable constitutional, diplomatic, and political barriers to admitting Venezuela as the 51st state, as no formal annexation process has advanced since President Trump's offhand March 17 Truth Social quip—praising Venezuela's World Baseball Classic upset over Italy—which sparked the market but elicited no legislative follow-through. Article IV, Section 3 requires congressional approval and typically a territory's petition, neither feasible amid Nicolás Maduro's regime rejecting U.S. overtures and international law prohibiting non-consensual annexation of a sovereign nation with 28 million people. Absent regime change via election or intervention (separate markets price U.S. invasion below 15% by year-end), economic incentives like oil reserves remain outweighed by integration complexities; no bills or hearings are scheduled before December 31 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문