Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Cape Town's April 17 maximum temperature, with 15–17°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–28% implied probabilities amid a cold front approaching the Western Cape. South African Weather Service (SAWS) advisories highlight cloudy conditions, isolated heavy morning showers, and westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, which suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and advecting cooler maritime air. AccuWeather and ensemble models like GFS/ECMWF project highs near 16°C on average, but divergences arise from shower persistence—prolonged overcast favors 15°C, partial afternoon clearing supports 17°C—against April climatological norms of 22°C. SAWS updates and fresh model runs today could sharpen odds before airport observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
15°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 26%
18°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
14°C or below
10%
15°C
29%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 30%
17°C 28%
16°C 26%
18°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
14°C or below
$577 Vol.
10%
15°C
$50 Vol.
29%
16°C
$133 Vol.
26%
17°C
$103 Vol.
28%
18°C
$59 Vol.
18%
19°C
$724 Vol.
3%
20°C
$754 Vol.
2%
21°C
$901 Vol.
1%
22°C
$843 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,024 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Cape Town's April 17 maximum temperature, with 15–17°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–28% implied probabilities amid a cold front approaching the Western Cape. South African Weather Service (SAWS) advisories highlight cloudy conditions, isolated heavy morning showers, and westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, which suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and advecting cooler maritime air. AccuWeather and ensemble models like GFS/ECMWF project highs near 16°C on average, but divergences arise from shower persistence—prolonged overcast favors 15°C, partial afternoon clearing supports 17°C—against April climatological norms of 22°C. SAWS updates and fresh model runs today could sharpen odds before airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,345Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Cape Town's April 17 maximum temperature, with 15–17°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–28% implied probabilities amid a cold front approaching the Western Cape. South African Weather Service (SAWS) advisories highlight cloudy conditions, isolated heavy morning showers, and westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, which suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and advecting cooler maritime air. AccuWeather and ensemble models like GFS/ECMWF project highs near 16°C on average, but divergences arise from shower persistence—prolonged overcast favors 15°C, partial afternoon clearing supports 17°C—against April climatological norms of 22°C. SAWS updates and fresh model runs today could sharpen odds before airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,345Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Cape Town's April 17 maximum temperature, with 15–17°C outcomes tightly clustered at 25–28% implied probabilities amid a cold front approaching the Western Cape. South African Weather Service (SAWS) advisories highlight cloudy conditions, isolated heavy morning showers, and westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, which suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and advecting cooler maritime air. AccuWeather and ensemble models like GFS/ECMWF project highs near 16°C on average, but divergences arise from shower persistence—prolonged overcast favors 15°C, partial afternoon clearing supports 17°C—against April climatological norms of 22°C. SAWS updates and fresh model runs today could sharpen odds before airport observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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