Trader consensus on Seattle's March 22 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-53°F, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peaks near 52°F amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup favors mild conditions with partial sun, but persistent marine stratus clouds from Puget Sound could cap highs at 50-51°F by limiting insolation, while brief ridging breakdowns might push toward 54-55°F via downslope warming. Historical March data shows average highs of 55°F with a standard deviation of 5°F, amplifying model spread from temperature inversions and sea breeze timing; traders eye afternoon soundings and 18Z updates for resolution cues as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 22 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 22 de março?
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 17%
48-49°F 10%
45°F ou menos
2%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
1%
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 17%
48-49°F 10%
45°F ou menos
2%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's March 22 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-53°F, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting peaks near 52°F amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. This setup favors mild conditions with partial sun, but persistent marine stratus clouds from Puget Sound could cap highs at 50-51°F by limiting insolation, while brief ridging breakdowns might push toward 54-55°F via downslope warming. Historical March data shows average highs of 55°F with a standard deviation of 5°F, amplifying model spread from temperature inversions and sea breeze timing; traders eye afternoon soundings and 18Z updates for resolution cues as uncertainty narrows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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