Trader sentiment on Wellington's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–22°C, propelled by MetService's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under northwesterly winds advecting mild maritime air, aligning with the city's late-summer climatological average of 20.2°C. Closely matched odds reflect ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where 21°C leads slightly due to potential clearer skies boosting insolation, while 19°C and 18°C gain from coastal sea breezes and stray showers suppressing peaks. Differentiating factors include wind shear variability—stronger northerlies favor 22°C—and marine layer persistence capping convection; final pre-dawn observations will sharpen resolution amid 2–3°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 24 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 24 de março?
19°C 32%
20°C 30%
21°C 28%
18°C 20%
13°C ou menos
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
24%
20°C
27%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C ou mais
10%
19°C 32%
20°C 30%
21°C 28%
18°C 20%
13°C ou menos
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
18%
18°C
20%
19°C
24%
20°C
27%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C ou mais
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Wellington's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–22°C, propelled by MetService's latest forecast of a 20°C maximum under northwesterly winds advecting mild maritime air, aligning with the city's late-summer climatological average of 20.2°C. Closely matched odds reflect ensemble model spread from ECMWF and GFS, where 21°C leads slightly due to potential clearer skies boosting insolation, while 19°C and 18°C gain from coastal sea breezes and stray showers suppressing peaks. Differentiating factors include wind shear variability—stronger northerlies favor 22°C—and marine layer persistence capping convection; final pre-dawn observations will sharpen resolution amid 2–3°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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