US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Fidel·Trump

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

23%

$1.2K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Fidel·Politics

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

85%

Luis Antonio Revilla

$6.2K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Fidel·Trump

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

24%

$4.8K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Fidel·Politics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

51%

$144K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

US strike on Cuba by...?
Fidel·Politics

US strike on Cuba by...?

35%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$91.2K Liq.

29

Ends in 10 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Fidel·Trump

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

29%

$20.9K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Fidel·Sports

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

55%

Natus Vincere

$106K Vol.

$106K today

$190K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Fidel·Politics

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

44%

$39.1K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

What will be said during the Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals?
Fidel·Culture

What will be said during the Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals?

96%

Pearl

$8.0K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
Fidel·Politics

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

22%

58-59%

$302K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

55

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B
Fidel·Sports

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election
Fidel·Politics

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

75%

55-60%

$2M Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

349

Next leader out of power before 2027?
Fidel·Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

30%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$69.4K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter
Fidel·Sports

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter

-

$161 Vol.

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Fidel·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

75%

Texas

$23 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes
Fidel·Sports

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes

-

$6.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Fidel·Sports

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Imperial

$13.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Fidel·Sports

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

100%

Natus Vincere

$0 Vol.

$947 Liq.

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Fidel·Iran

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

42%

Leadership Change

$1.4K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Fidel·Politics

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

21%

$547K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

24

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.