Skip to main content

Desastre Natural previsões e probabilidades

·
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

31%

$216K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

38%

$295K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

16%

$150K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

$79.2K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 11 meses

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

17%

$16.7K Vol.

$735 Liq.

Ends em 30 dias

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

22%

$339K Vol.

$174 Liq.

Ends em 30 dias

Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

15%

$59.8K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

4%

$46.3K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 30 dias

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

54%

0

$1M Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

9

Ends em 11 meses

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

74%

May 30

$18.7K Vol.

$257K Liq.

1

Ends em 30 dias

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

73%

0

$20.4K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

33%

≤3

$13.8K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 1 dia

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

62%

260–289

$55.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

29%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

85%

8+

$2M Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

27%

12

$83.3K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 4 - May 10?

47%

1

$103 Vol.

$636 Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$590K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

26

Ends em 8 meses

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9%

$181K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

57%

<200

$5 Vol.

$741 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Desastre Natural.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for Desastre Natural that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to 8+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Desastre Natural predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.