California’s 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating and consistent election results favoring the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres faces limited opposition in the June 2, 2026 primary from Republican Mike Cargile and a write-in candidate, with fundraising data showing substantial disparities in resources. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. The general election on November 3, 2026, will proceed under California’s top-two primary rules. Trader consensus at 95 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political shift could still influence the final result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-35 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-35 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$33,000 Объем
$33,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
$33,000 Объем
$33,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$19,895 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$13,106 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating and consistent election results favoring the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres faces limited opposition in the June 2, 2026 primary from Republican Mike Cargile and a write-in candidate, with fundraising data showing substantial disparities in resources. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. The general election on November 3, 2026, will proceed under California’s top-two primary rules. Trader consensus at 95 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political shift could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$33,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating and consistent election results favoring the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres faces limited opposition in the June 2, 2026 primary from Republican Mike Cargile and a write-in candidate, with fundraising data showing substantial disparities in resources. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. The general election on November 3, 2026, will proceed under California’s top-two primary rules. Trader consensus at 95 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political shift could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index rating and consistent election results favoring the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Norma Torres faces limited opposition in the June 2, 2026 primary from Republican Mike Cargile and a write-in candidate, with fundraising data showing substantial disparities in resources. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic. The general election on November 3, 2026, will proceed under California’s top-two primary rules. Trader consensus at 95 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant national political shift could still influence the final result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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