Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit, fueled by a persistent southwesterly upper ridge enabling warm air advection from the south and efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. The razor-thin trader split between 90-91°F (29% implied probability) and 88-89°F (28%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—lingering morning stratus could reduce insolation and cap peaks near 88°F, while rapid clearing boosts solar forcing toward 91°F amid light southerly winds (10-20 mph) minimizing mixing. Low precipitation odds (around 24%) limit cooling threats; overnight model updates and today's hourly soundings will sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
77°F or below
$1,348 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$605 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$442 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$488 Объем
3%
84-85°F
$204 Объем
9%
86-87°F
$95 Объем
17%
88-89°F
$127 Объем
28%
90-91°F
$322 Объем
29%
92-93°F
$979 Объем
14%
94-95°F
$600 Объем
4%
96°F or higher
$1,424 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit, fueled by a persistent southwesterly upper ridge enabling warm air advection from the south and efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. The razor-thin trader split between 90-91°F (29% implied probability) and 88-89°F (28%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—lingering morning stratus could reduce insolation and cap peaks near 88°F, while rapid clearing boosts solar forcing toward 91°F amid light southerly winds (10-20 mph) minimizing mixing. Low precipitation odds (around 24%) limit cooling threats; overnight model updates and today's hourly soundings will sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$6,631Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit, fueled by a persistent southwesterly upper ridge enabling warm air advection from the south and efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. The razor-thin trader split between 90-91°F (29% implied probability) and 88-89°F (28%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—lingering morning stratus could reduce insolation and cap peaks near 88°F, while rapid clearing boosts solar forcing toward 91°F amid light southerly winds (10-20 mph) minimizing mixing. Low precipitation odds (around 24%) limit cooling threats; overnight model updates and today's hourly soundings will sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,631Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Austin's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit, fueled by a persistent southwesterly upper ridge enabling warm air advection from the south and efficient daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. The razor-thin trader split between 90-91°F (29% implied probability) and 88-89°F (28%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover—lingering morning stratus could reduce insolation and cap peaks near 88°F, while rapid clearing boosts solar forcing toward 91°F amid light southerly winds (10-20 mph) minimizing mixing. Low precipitation odds (around 24%) limit cooling threats; overnight model updates and today's hourly soundings will sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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