Trader consensus favors 27°C as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26, with 30% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast peaking at 27°C amid mild autumn conditions and northerly winds advecting warmth. Closely trailing 28°C (22%) reflects ECMWF ensemble runs showing slight model spread toward warmer outcomes from reduced cloud cover, while 26°C (18.5%) aligns with cooler GFS projections incorporating potential sea breeze moderation. Differentiating factors include upper-level ridging enhancing daytime heating versus coastal humidity capping peaks, per historical late-March averages around 26.5°C; final SMN update expected midday could shift odds as diurnal max timing firms up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
$14,958 Объем
$14,958 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
$14,958 Объем
$14,958 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
30%
28°C
22%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 27°C as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26, with 30% implied probability, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast peaking at 27°C amid mild autumn conditions and northerly winds advecting warmth. Closely trailing 28°C (22%) reflects ECMWF ensemble runs showing slight model spread toward warmer outcomes from reduced cloud cover, while 26°C (18.5%) aligns with cooler GFS projections incorporating potential sea breeze moderation. Differentiating factors include upper-level ridging enhancing daytime heating versus coastal humidity capping peaks, per historical late-March averages around 26.5°C; final SMN update expected midday could shift odds as diurnal max timing firms up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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