Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 28°C (33%) or 27°C (23%) in Chengdu on April 17, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C max under sunny skies), Weather.com (29°C mostly sunny), BBC Weather (27°C sunny), and TimeandDate (28°C partly cloudy), reflecting a shift from recent overcast conditions that capped April 15-16 highs around 24°C per China Meteorological Administration bulletins. Key variables include cloud cover persistence—recent variable cloudiness suppressed peaks—and strengthening southerly winds (9-11 km/h SSW/WSW) aiding warm air advection in the Sichuan Basin. High uncertainty stems from model divergence amid spring transitional patterns, with urban heat and afternoon solar heating potentially pushing toward 29-30°C if skies fully clear, versus cooler if drizzle lingers; real-time airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu will resolve intraday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 30%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
23%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 30%
27°C 23%
29°C 22%
26°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
23%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 28°C (33%) or 27°C (23%) in Chengdu on April 17, driven by the latest forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C max under sunny skies), Weather.com (29°C mostly sunny), BBC Weather (27°C sunny), and TimeandDate (28°C partly cloudy), reflecting a shift from recent overcast conditions that capped April 15-16 highs around 24°C per China Meteorological Administration bulletins. Key variables include cloud cover persistence—recent variable cloudiness suppressed peaks—and strengthening southerly winds (9-11 km/h SSW/WSW) aiding warm air advection in the Sichuan Basin. High uncertainty stems from model divergence amid spring transitional patterns, with urban heat and afternoon solar heating potentially pushing toward 29-30°C if skies fully clear, versus cooler if drizzle lingers; real-time airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu will resolve intraday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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