Trader consensus on Chicago's highest temperature April 17 clusters around 78-81°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing upper 70s peaks under a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Midwest. Recent 24-hour forecast updates reflect GFS and ECMWF consensus near 76-79°F, with some deterministic runs pushing 80-83°F if ridge amplification enhances downslope warming and maximizes afternoon insolation. Key differentiators include lingering cloud cover from overnight showers—potentially capping peaks at 78°F—or sunnier breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to 81°F+. Lows in the 50s-60s support robust diurnal heating, 15-20°F above April norms, though isolated thunderstorms pose minor upset risk; final NWS advisories expected midday April 16 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 17?
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 11%
НОВОЕ
$12,376 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,376 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F или выше
1%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 11%
НОВОЕ
$12,376 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,376 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$5,296 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$928 Объем
2%
74-75°F
$832 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$621 Объем
15%
78-79°F
$793 Объем
28%
80-81°F
$550 Объем
25%
82-83°F
$874 Объем
11%
84-85°F
$561 Объем
11%
86-87°F
$1,348 Объем
2%
88-89°F
$640 Объем
2%
90°F или выше
$516 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Chicago's highest temperature April 17 clusters around 78-81°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing upper 70s peaks under a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Midwest. Recent 24-hour forecast updates reflect GFS and ECMWF consensus near 76-79°F, with some deterministic runs pushing 80-83°F if ridge amplification enhances downslope warming and maximizes afternoon insolation. Key differentiators include lingering cloud cover from overnight showers—potentially capping peaks at 78°F—or sunnier breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to 81°F+. Lows in the 50s-60s support robust diurnal heating, 15-20°F above April norms, though isolated thunderstorms pose minor upset risk; final NWS advisories expected midday April 16 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Объем
$12,376Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Chicago's highest temperature April 17 clusters around 78-81°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing upper 70s peaks under a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Midwest. Recent 24-hour forecast updates reflect GFS and ECMWF consensus near 76-79°F, with some deterministic runs pushing 80-83°F if ridge amplification enhances downslope warming and maximizes afternoon insolation. Key differentiators include lingering cloud cover from overnight showers—potentially capping peaks at 78°F—or sunnier breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to 81°F+. Lows in the 50s-60s support robust diurnal heating, 15-20°F above April norms, though isolated thunderstorms pose minor upset risk; final NWS advisories expected midday April 16 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,376Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chicago's highest temperature April 17 clusters around 78-81°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing upper 70s peaks under a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Midwest. Recent 24-hour forecast updates reflect GFS and ECMWF consensus near 76-79°F, with some deterministic runs pushing 80-83°F if ridge amplification enhances downslope warming and maximizes afternoon insolation. Key differentiators include lingering cloud cover from overnight showers—potentially capping peaks at 78°F—or sunnier breaks allowing boundary-layer mixing to 81°F+. Lows in the 50s-60s support robust diurnal heating, 15-20°F above April norms, though isolated thunderstorms pose minor upset risk; final NWS advisories expected midday April 16 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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