India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies with minimums around 23°C, anchoring trader support at 36% implied probability, yet private models like AccuWeather project peaks near 41°C (105°F) amid hazy conditions and intensifying regional heat, boosting 40°C to 41% consensus. Recent rises from 36°C on April 13 reflect dry northwesterly winds and high solar insolation typical of pre-monsoon April, where historical averages hover 38–40°C but daily variability hinges on afternoon peaking and urban heat effects. Key differentiator: potential haze-reduced insolation versus unclouded heating; hourly IMD observations from Lucknow Airport will resolve uncertainty later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
39°C 44%
40°C 41%
41°C 12%
38°C 5.5%
$35,418 Объем
$35,418 Объем
37°C or below
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
44%
40°C
41%
41°C
12%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
39°C 44%
40°C 41%
41°C 12%
38°C 5.5%
$35,418 Объем
$35,418 Объем
37°C or below
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
44%
40°C
41%
41°C
12%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies with minimums around 23°C, anchoring trader support at 36% implied probability, yet private models like AccuWeather project peaks near 41°C (105°F) amid hazy conditions and intensifying regional heat, boosting 40°C to 41% consensus. Recent rises from 36°C on April 13 reflect dry northwesterly winds and high solar insolation typical of pre-monsoon April, where historical averages hover 38–40°C but daily variability hinges on afternoon peaking and urban heat effects. Key differentiator: potential haze-reduced insolation versus unclouded heating; hourly IMD observations from Lucknow Airport will resolve uncertainty later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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