Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Milan's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-25°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions and partly cloudy skies, fueling trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 23°C (28.5%) as top implied probabilities. This tight clustering stems from minimal model spread—typically 1-2°C in short-range runs—driven by consistent predictions of moderate insolation, light southerly winds, and urban heat amplification in Milan, above April climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential cloud variability reducing peak heating for 22°C outcomes or slight boundary-layer warming pushing toward 25°C; ARPA Lombardia guidance aligns near 23°C. Resolution hinges on official Milano Linate Airport observations, with final hourly data expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
$11,803 Объем
$11,803 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
22°C 17%
25°C 14%
$11,803 Объем
$11,803 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Milan's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-25°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mild conditions and partly cloudy skies, fueling trader consensus with 24°C (31%) edging 23°C (28.5%) as top implied probabilities. This tight clustering stems from minimal model spread—typically 1-2°C in short-range runs—driven by consistent predictions of moderate insolation, light southerly winds, and urban heat amplification in Milan, above April climatological averages of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include potential cloud variability reducing peak heating for 22°C outcomes or slight boundary-layer warming pushing toward 25°C; ARPA Lombardia guidance aligns near 23°C. Resolution hinges on official Milano Linate Airport observations, with final hourly data expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы