Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 8%
51°F или ниже
1%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F или выше
<1%
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 8%
51°F или ниже
1%
52-53°F
8%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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