Observational data from London stations like NW3 weather confirm just 1.5 mm of rainfall through April 16, only 4% of the long-term monthly average of around 43 mm, fueling 67% market-implied odds for under 20 mm total precipitation. This deficit stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering the UK's warmest early April days on record (26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8), suppressing frontal systems. Recent Met Office regional summaries note less than 1 mm in southeast England for early April, with scattered showers since adding minimal accumulation. Forecasts point to changeable Atlantic weather through month-end, but weak systems limit upside risk; daily updates from the Met Office will track any intensification as resolution nears on April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPrecipitation in London in April?
Precipitation in London in April?
<20mm 66.8%
40-50mm 12.3%
30-40mm 10%
20-30mm 5.4%
<20mm
67%
20-30mm
5%
30-40mm
10%
40-50mm
12%
50-60mm
5%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
<20mm 66.8%
40-50mm 12.3%
30-40mm 10%
20-30mm 5.4%
<20mm
67%
20-30mm
5%
30-40mm
10%
40-50mm
12%
50-60mm
5%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Observational data from London stations like NW3 weather confirm just 1.5 mm of rainfall through April 16, only 4% of the long-term monthly average of around 43 mm, fueling 67% market-implied odds for under 20 mm total precipitation. This deficit stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering the UK's warmest early April days on record (26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8), suppressing frontal systems. Recent Met Office regional summaries note less than 1 mm in southeast England for early April, with scattered showers since adding minimal accumulation. Forecasts point to changeable Atlantic weather through month-end, but weak systems limit upside risk; daily updates from the Met Office will track any intensification as resolution nears on April 30.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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