Ohio's 8th Congressional District, redrawn in October 2025 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, strongly favors Republicans, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Warren Davidson seeks re-election after decisive 2024 victory, facing no notable Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 5 primaries. The Democratic primary pits Vanessa Enoch, the 2024 nominee who lost by a wide margin, against newcomer Madaris Grant, with recent profiles highlighting limited resources and name recognition. Absent polls or major catalysts like scandals or national midterm waves, traders reflect historical base rates for safe districts, pricing low odds for Democratic upset despite potential primary outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-08 House Election Winner
OH-08 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,482 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$3,767 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 8th Congressional District, redrawn in October 2025 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, strongly favors Republicans, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Warren Davidson seeks re-election after decisive 2024 victory, facing no notable Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 5 primaries. The Democratic primary pits Vanessa Enoch, the 2024 nominee who lost by a wide margin, against newcomer Madaris Grant, with recent profiles highlighting limited resources and name recognition. Absent polls or major catalysts like scandals or national midterm waves, traders reflect historical base rates for safe districts, pricing low odds for Democratic upset despite potential primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,249Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 8th Congressional District, redrawn in October 2025 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, strongly favors Republicans, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Warren Davidson seeks re-election after decisive 2024 victory, facing no notable Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 5 primaries. The Democratic primary pits Vanessa Enoch, the 2024 nominee who lost by a wide margin, against newcomer Madaris Grant, with recent profiles highlighting limited resources and name recognition. Absent polls or major catalysts like scandals or national midterm waves, traders reflect historical base rates for safe districts, pricing low odds for Democratic upset despite potential primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,249Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 8th Congressional District, redrawn in October 2025 with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, strongly favors Republicans, driving trader consensus to an 83.5% implied probability for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Warren Davidson seeks re-election after decisive 2024 victory, facing no notable Republican primary challengers ahead of the May 5 primaries. The Democratic primary pits Vanessa Enoch, the 2024 nominee who lost by a wide margin, against newcomer Madaris Grant, with recent profiles highlighting limited resources and name recognition. Absent polls or major catalysts like scandals or national midterm waves, traders reflect historical base rates for safe districts, pricing low odds for Democratic upset despite potential primary outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp