**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 交易量
$102,202 交易量
2026-04-29
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 交易量
$102,202 交易量
2026-04-29
14°C or below
$420 交易量
No
15°C
$1,698 交易量
No
16°C
$1,217 交易量
No
17°C
$13,436 交易量
No
18°C
$8,743 交易量
No
19°C
$8,000 交易量
No
20°C
$19,462 交易量
Yes
21°C
$23,012 交易量
No
22°C
$13,761 交易量
No
23°C
$5,357 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$7,096 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$102,202結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$102,202結束日期
2026-04-29市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions