Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀7月18日的最高溫度？
奧斯汀7月18日的最高溫度？
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,621 交易量
$36,621 交易量
2026-07-18
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或以上
否
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,621 交易量
$36,621 交易量
2026-07-18
81°F或以下
$379 交易量
否
82-83°F
$909 交易量
否
84-85°F
$625 交易量
否
86-87°F
$4,074 交易量
否
88-89°F
$4,427 交易量
否
90-91°F
$4,335 交易量
否
92-93°F
$6,224 交易量
否
94-95°F
$4,648 交易量
是
96-97°F
$2,804 交易量
否
98-99°F
$3,691 交易量
否
100°F或以上
$4,504 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$36,621結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,621結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions