Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 36%
17°C 21%
18°C 15%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
8%
15°C
10%
16°C
10%
17°C
21%
18°C
15%
19°C or higher
36%
19°C or higher 36%
17°C 21%
18°C 15%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
9°C or below
$508 交易量
1%
10°C
$526 交易量
3%
11°C
$298 交易量
6%
12°C
$392 交易量
5%
13°C
$451 交易量
4%
14°C
$299 交易量
8%
15°C
$222 交易量
10%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$15 交易量
15%
19°C or higher
$30 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$2,731結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,731結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions