Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam region on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwest winds (3 Beaufort) and low precipitation risk (20%), reflecting a mild southerly airflow but limited sunshine (30%). Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (71% combined implied probability), driven by ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models averaging near 18°C, where deterministic runs diverge based on cloud cover variability—thinner clouds could boost peaks to 19°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker overcast caps at 17°C. This uncertainty arises from boundary layer dynamics and short-range forecast sensitivities, with historical April norms (13–15°C) underscoring the above-average mildness. New model runs tonight and KNMI updates tomorrow may refine odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 31%
17°C 21%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
29%
19°C
31%
20°C
12%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
9%
18°C 35%
19°C 31%
17°C 21%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$786 交易量
1%
13°C
$210 交易量
1%
14°C
$50 交易量
4%
15°C
$58 交易量
5%
16°C
$29 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$9 交易量
29%
19°C
$10 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
12%
21°C
$0 交易量
12%
22°C or higher
$60 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam region on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwest winds (3 Beaufort) and low precipitation risk (20%), reflecting a mild southerly airflow but limited sunshine (30%). Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (71% combined implied probability), driven by ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models averaging near 18°C, where deterministic runs diverge based on cloud cover variability—thinner clouds could boost peaks to 19°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker overcast caps at 17°C. This uncertainty arises from boundary layer dynamics and short-range forecast sensitivities, with historical April norms (13–15°C) underscoring the above-average mildness. New model runs tonight and KNMI updates tomorrow may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$1,210結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam region on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwest winds (3 Beaufort) and low precipitation risk (20%), reflecting a mild southerly airflow but limited sunshine (30%). Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (71% combined implied probability), driven by ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models averaging near 18°C, where deterministic runs diverge based on cloud cover variability—thinner clouds could boost peaks to 19°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker overcast caps at 17°C. This uncertainty arises from boundary layer dynamics and short-range forecast sensitivities, with historical April norms (13–15°C) underscoring the above-average mildness. New model runs tonight and KNMI updates tomorrow may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,210結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETLatest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam region on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwest winds (3 Beaufort) and low precipitation risk (20%), reflecting a mild southerly airflow but limited sunshine (30%). Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–19°C (71% combined implied probability), driven by ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models averaging near 18°C, where deterministic runs diverge based on cloud cover variability—thinner clouds could boost peaks to 19°C via enhanced insolation, while thicker overcast caps at 17°C. This uncertainty arises from boundary layer dynamics and short-range forecast sensitivities, with historical April norms (13–15°C) underscoring the above-average mildness. New model runs tonight and KNMI updates tomorrow may refine odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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