Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
14°C or below
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
14%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
9%
18°C 28%
17°C 21%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
14°C or below
$130 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
20%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
10%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
13%
24°C or higher
$129 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$259結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$259結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETMarket-implied odds for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17 remain tightly clustered across 14–24°C, reflecting scientific uncertainty from divergent global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF amid the trailing effects of a cold front that delivered showers and gusty northwest winds to the Western Cape on April 14–15. South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance points to partly cloudy skies with lingering moisture, potentially capping diurnal heating, while AccuWeather ensembles forecast a cooler 16°C high under 97% morning precipitation probability and 96% cloud cover. Key differentiators include post-frontal cloud clearance speed, sea breeze moderation, and wind shifts; historical April frontal passages suppress averages (typically 22°C) by 3–6°C. Watch SAWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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