Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 27°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 17 under partly cloudy to clear skies, following recent rainy days with highs near 22–24°C that suppressed temperatures. However, international models like AccuWeather indicate potential for 30–31°C amid stronger solar insolation and a building subtropical ridge, fueling trader split with 26°C (28% implied probability) edging 32°C or higher (25.5%). Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover—persistent partial clouds cap at mid-20s, while quicker clearing enables upper-20s to low-30s peaks, amplified by Chongqing's urban heat island in spring's warming climatology (April average high ~23°C). New CMA and global model runs expected April 16 could sharpen consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
13%
26°C
28%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
16%
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
13%
26°C
28%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
17%
30°C
14%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 27°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 17 under partly cloudy to clear skies, following recent rainy days with highs near 22–24°C that suppressed temperatures. However, international models like AccuWeather indicate potential for 30–31°C amid stronger solar insolation and a building subtropical ridge, fueling trader split with 26°C (28% implied probability) edging 32°C or higher (25.5%). Key differentiators include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover—persistent partial clouds cap at mid-20s, while quicker clearing enables upper-20s to low-30s peaks, amplified by Chongqing's urban heat island in spring's warming climatology (April average high ~23°C). New CMA and global model runs expected April 16 could sharpen consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions