Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 交易量
$62,352 交易量
2026-05-01
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,352 交易量
$62,352 交易量
2026-05-01
12°C or below
$1,348 交易量
No
13°C
$959 交易量
No
14°C
$1,190 交易量
No
15°C
$570 交易量
No
16°C
$1,871 交易量
No
17°C
$1,114 交易量
No
18°C
$11,658 交易量
No
19°C
$18,281 交易量
No
20°C
$10,721 交易量
Yes
21°C
$6,430 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$8,210 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$62,352結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$62,352結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Apr 29, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport meteorological station, under the China Meteorological Administration, confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 20°C around midday, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies and intermittent sprinkles from a mild frontal system sharply reduced solar insolation, preventing typical daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin where May highs average 26–28°C based on historical climatology. This deviates from earlier forecasts of 23–25°C, as cloud-induced radiative cooling dominated. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an unreported peak above 20.5°C, though improbable with evening temperatures now falling below 19°C; final CMA validation expected within 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions