Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
最新
$15,204 交易量
最新
$15,204 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
34%
30°C
18%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
最新
$15,204 交易量
最新
$15,204 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
$3,509 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,236 交易量
1%
25°C
$420 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,316 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,416 交易量
7%
28°C
$415 交易量
26%
29°C
$332 交易量
34%
30°C
$343 交易量
18%
31°C
$883 交易量
9%
32°C
$1,544 交易量
2%
33°C or higher
$791 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,204結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,204結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions