Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 17?
Highest temperature in London on April 17?
18°C 35%
17°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
9%
17°C
31%
18°C
35%
19°C
24%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
17°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 9%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
9%
17°C
31%
18°C
35%
19°C
24%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Met Office's latest forecast update from April 14, projecting London's highest temperature on April 17 at 18°C under cloudy skies with light winds and low shower risk in the afternoon, driving the narrow lead for that outcome. Close competition from 17°C and 19°C stems from ensemble model discrepancies on cloud cover and solar insolation—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 17°C, while sunnier breaks might allow brief heating to 19°C, as hinted in some BBC and media outlooks citing Met Office data. This follows a recent early-April warm spell exceeding 80-year records above the 12–15°C average, but an unsettled Atlantic pattern introduces variability. Watch for tomorrow's refined guidance from the National Weather Service equivalents, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to hourly updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions