MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
最新
$11,696 交易量
最新
$11,696 交易量
2026-04-17
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
35%
19°C
32%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
最新
$11,696 交易量
最新
$11,696 交易量
2026-04-17
11°C or below
$1,633 交易量
<1%
12°C
$948 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,152 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,610 交易量
1%
15°C
$245 交易量
2%
16°C
$366 交易量
5%
17°C
$334 交易量
23%
18°C
$290 交易量
35%
19°C
$330 交易量
32%
20°C
$192 交易量
8%
21°C or higher
$595 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$11,696結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,696結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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