Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in services such as timeanddate.com's CustomWeather data, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at around 28°C under partly cloudy skies, low 31% humidity, and light winds, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 20.5% implied probability. This marks a warming trend from April 15's observed high near 23–24°C amid cloudy conditions, per China Meteorological Administration updates, with BBC forecasts aligning at 27°C sunny. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud development and subsidence from an upper-level ridge boosting highs above the late-April climatological average of 24°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. New CMA bulletins and model runs expected daily could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 30%
26°C 23%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 30%
26°C 23%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in services such as timeanddate.com's CustomWeather data, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at around 28°C under partly cloudy skies, low 31% humidity, and light winds, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 20.5% implied probability. This marks a warming trend from April 15's observed high near 23–24°C amid cloudy conditions, per China Meteorological Administration updates, with BBC forecasts aligning at 27°C sunny. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud development and subsidence from an upper-level ridge boosting highs above the late-April climatological average of 24°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. New CMA bulletins and model runs expected daily could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions