Forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs of 28-30°C on April 17, mirroring the tight trader consensus with leading market-implied odds at 26.5% for 28°C, 24.5% for 29°C, and 21.0% for 30°C. Recent surface observations through April 15 show daily peaks near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly sea breezes, consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 27-28°C highs amid ENSO-neutral conditions lacking extremes. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud cover evolution—faster morning clearing boosts solar insolation toward 30°C—versus lingering thundershowers capping at 28°C, compounded by urban heat island amplification and low-level moisture advection. Updated CMA guidance and model runs due April 16 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
22°C or below
$597 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,551 交易量
<1%
24°C
$878 交易量
1%
25°C
$746 交易量
3%
26°C
$172 交易量
6%
27°C
$28 交易量
20%
28°C
$25 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$53 交易量
23%
31°C
$108 交易量
5%
32°C or higher
$41 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs of 28-30°C on April 17, mirroring the tight trader consensus with leading market-implied odds at 26.5% for 28°C, 24.5% for 29°C, and 21.0% for 30°C. Recent surface observations through April 15 show daily peaks near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly sea breezes, consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 27-28°C highs amid ENSO-neutral conditions lacking extremes. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud cover evolution—faster morning clearing boosts solar insolation toward 30°C—versus lingering thundershowers capping at 28°C, compounded by urban heat island amplification and low-level moisture advection. Updated CMA guidance and model runs due April 16 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$4,199結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs of 28-30°C on April 17, mirroring the tight trader consensus with leading market-implied odds at 26.5% for 28°C, 24.5% for 29°C, and 21.0% for 30°C. Recent surface observations through April 15 show daily peaks near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly sea breezes, consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 27-28°C highs amid ENSO-neutral conditions lacking extremes. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud cover evolution—faster morning clearing boosts solar insolation toward 30°C—versus lingering thundershowers capping at 28°C, compounded by urban heat island amplification and low-level moisture advection. Updated CMA guidance and model runs due April 16 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,199結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETForecast ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport highs of 28-30°C on April 17, mirroring the tight trader consensus with leading market-implied odds at 26.5% for 28°C, 24.5% for 29°C, and 21.0% for 30°C. Recent surface observations through April 15 show daily peaks near 28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly sea breezes, consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 27-28°C highs amid ENSO-neutral conditions lacking extremes. Differentiating factors include diurnal cloud cover evolution—faster morning clearing boosts solar insolation toward 30°C—versus lingering thundershowers capping at 28°C, compounded by urban heat island amplification and low-level moisture advection. Updated CMA guidance and model runs due April 16 will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions