Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 23°C in Shanghai on April 17 under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, anchoring the 26% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher as trader consensus weighs potential solar heating against cloud suppression. Recent days saw highs clustered 17-20°C amid variable spring fronts and light rain, consistent with historical mid-April averages near 19°C and climatological norms for East China's transitional monsoon onset. Differentiating factors include overcast conditions capping insolation for 19-20°C outcomes (24-25% odds) versus possible afternoon clearing pushing toward 21-23°C; global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show minor spread around 20°C. New CMA updates and model runs on April 16 could sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
21°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
16%
19°C
25%
20°C
32%
21°C
21%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
21°C 21%
18°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
13°C or below
$930 交易量
<1%
14°C
$581 交易量
1%
15°C
$421 交易量
1%
16°C
$184 交易量
2%
17°C
$151 交易量
15%
18°C
$33 交易量
16%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$13 交易量
32%
21°C
$0 交易量
21%
22°C
$32 交易量
4%
23°C or higher
$107 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 23°C in Shanghai on April 17 under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, anchoring the 26% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher as trader consensus weighs potential solar heating against cloud suppression. Recent days saw highs clustered 17-20°C amid variable spring fronts and light rain, consistent with historical mid-April averages near 19°C and climatological norms for East China's transitional monsoon onset. Differentiating factors include overcast conditions capping insolation for 19-20°C outcomes (24-25% odds) versus possible afternoon clearing pushing toward 21-23°C; global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show minor spread around 20°C. New CMA updates and model runs on April 16 could sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$2,318結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 23°C in Shanghai on April 17 under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, anchoring the 26% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher as trader consensus weighs potential solar heating against cloud suppression. Recent days saw highs clustered 17-20°C amid variable spring fronts and light rain, consistent with historical mid-April averages near 19°C and climatological norms for East China's transitional monsoon onset. Differentiating factors include overcast conditions capping insolation for 19-20°C outcomes (24-25% odds) versus possible afternoon clearing pushing toward 21-23°C; global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show minor spread around 20°C. New CMA updates and model runs on April 16 could sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,318結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a high of 23°C in Shanghai on April 17 under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, anchoring the 26% market-implied odds for 23°C or higher as trader consensus weighs potential solar heating against cloud suppression. Recent days saw highs clustered 17-20°C amid variable spring fronts and light rain, consistent with historical mid-April averages near 19°C and climatological norms for East China's transitional monsoon onset. Differentiating factors include overcast conditions capping insolation for 19-20°C outcomes (24-25% odds) versus possible afternoon clearing pushing toward 21-23°C; global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show minor spread around 20°C. New CMA updates and model runs on April 16 could sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions