Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 21-24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm southerly air advection, boosting trader consensus to 68% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 15-16 highs topping 24°C amid sunny conditions—well above the mid-April climatological average of 19°C—reflecting a positive spring temperature anomaly driven by East Asian jet stream positioning. Lower outcomes like 20°C (15%) and 19°C (12.5%) account for model spread and potential transient cloud cover, though precipitation odds remain near 0%. Key KMA updates expected April 17 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
21°C or higher 72%
20°C 15%
19°C 9%
18°C 5%
$24,679 交易量
$24,679 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
72%
21°C or higher 72%
20°C 15%
19°C 9%
18°C 5%
$24,679 交易量
$24,679 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models like ECMWF project Seoul's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 21-24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light winds, and warm southerly air advection, boosting trader consensus to 68% implied probability for 21°C or higher. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 15-16 highs topping 24°C amid sunny conditions—well above the mid-April climatological average of 19°C—reflecting a positive spring temperature anomaly driven by East Asian jet stream positioning. Lower outcomes like 20°C (15%) and 19°C (12.5%) account for model spread and potential transient cloud cover, though precipitation odds remain near 0%. Key KMA updates expected April 17 could refine trajectories as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions