Trader consensus favors 84°F or higher at 61.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance forecasting partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with highs well into the 80s under breezy southerly winds ahead of a cold front arriving Saturday. Recent rainfall through mid-week cooled overnight lows to the upper 60s/low 70s and capped prior highs near 83°F, but model consensus from GFS and NAM now supports a rebound to 83-86°F amid subsiding Gulf moisture and upper-level ridging. Increased cloudiness or isolated showers could temper peaks to 82-83°F (21% implied odds), with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal heating potential before official observations at key stations like IAH resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月18日休斯敦的最高溫度?
4月18日休斯敦的最高溫度?
84°F or higher 57%
82-83°F 22%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 6.9%
$14,352 交易量
$14,352 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
22%
84°F or higher
57%
84°F or higher 57%
82-83°F 22%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 6.9%
$14,352 交易量
$14,352 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
22%
84°F or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus favors 84°F or higher at 61.5% for Houston's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance forecasting partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with highs well into the 80s under breezy southerly winds ahead of a cold front arriving Saturday. Recent rainfall through mid-week cooled overnight lows to the upper 60s/low 70s and capped prior highs near 83°F, but model consensus from GFS and NAM now supports a rebound to 83-86°F amid subsiding Gulf moisture and upper-level ridging. Increased cloudiness or isolated showers could temper peaks to 82-83°F (21% implied odds), with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal heating potential before official observations at key stations like IAH resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions