National Weather Service guidance places Houston's high temperature today in the low to mid-80s°F range, with point forecasts near 82-84°F under partly sunny skies, a 60% chance of scattered showers, and southeast winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph—driving the tight trader split between 82-83°F (48.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (39.0%). Enhanced cloud cover and afternoon convection from moisture-laden Gulf inflow and weak upper-level disturbances cap peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, differentiating the outcomes; drier conditions or delayed showers could push toward the higher bin, while earlier precip favors the lower. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show consensus around 83°F but diverge on convective timing, with observations at Hobby/Intercontinental airports resolving the market by evening. Recent overnight lows in the upper 60s/low 70s set a warm baseline above April climatological norms (~79°F).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 53%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 7%
86-87°F 5%
$26,532 交易量
$26,532 交易量
2026-04-17
79°F or below
3%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 53%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 7%
86-87°F 5%
$26,532 交易量
$26,532 交易量
2026-04-17
79°F or below
$6,037 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$2,496 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$2,077 交易量
53%
84-85°F
$2,672 交易量
33%
86-87°F
$1,655 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$2,561 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,694 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,658 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,422 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$1,469 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,897 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance places Houston's high temperature today in the low to mid-80s°F range, with point forecasts near 82-84°F under partly sunny skies, a 60% chance of scattered showers, and southeast winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph—driving the tight trader split between 82-83°F (48.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (39.0%). Enhanced cloud cover and afternoon convection from moisture-laden Gulf inflow and weak upper-level disturbances cap peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, differentiating the outcomes; drier conditions or delayed showers could push toward the higher bin, while earlier precip favors the lower. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show consensus around 83°F but diverge on convective timing, with observations at Hobby/Intercontinental airports resolving the market by evening. Recent overnight lows in the upper 60s/low 70s set a warm baseline above April climatological norms (~79°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$26,532結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance places Houston's high temperature today in the low to mid-80s°F range, with point forecasts near 82-84°F under partly sunny skies, a 60% chance of scattered showers, and southeast winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph—driving the tight trader split between 82-83°F (48.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (39.0%). Enhanced cloud cover and afternoon convection from moisture-laden Gulf inflow and weak upper-level disturbances cap peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, differentiating the outcomes; drier conditions or delayed showers could push toward the higher bin, while earlier precip favors the lower. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show consensus around 83°F but diverge on convective timing, with observations at Hobby/Intercontinental airports resolving the market by evening. Recent overnight lows in the upper 60s/low 70s set a warm baseline above April climatological norms (~79°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,532結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance places Houston's high temperature today in the low to mid-80s°F range, with point forecasts near 82-84°F under partly sunny skies, a 60% chance of scattered showers, and southeast winds at 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph—driving the tight trader split between 82-83°F (48.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (39.0%). Enhanced cloud cover and afternoon convection from moisture-laden Gulf inflow and weak upper-level disturbances cap peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, differentiating the outcomes; drier conditions or delayed showers could push toward the higher bin, while earlier precip favors the lower. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show consensus around 83°F but diverge on convective timing, with observations at Hobby/Intercontinental airports resolving the market by evening. Recent overnight lows in the upper 60s/low 70s set a warm baseline above April climatological norms (~79°F).
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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