Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high at 31% implied probability for Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C close behind at 22.5% and 15°C at 14%, capturing genuine uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an incoming Mediterranean low-pressure system. Recent model runs indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C due to persistent cloud cover, showers, and cool northerly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, diverging slightly on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. This setup marks a dip below mid-April climatological norms of ~15°C highs, driven by the past 48 hours' cooling trend from extratropical influences. New forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models tomorrow could refine the 1–2°C spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
13°C 31%
14°C 30%
15°C 17%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
31%
14°C
30%
15°C
21%
16°C
15%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 31%
14°C 30%
15°C 17%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C or below
$252 交易量
1%
10°C
$199 交易量
1%
11°C
$240 交易量
1%
12°C
$154 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
31%
14°C
$6 交易量
30%
15°C
$69 交易量
21%
16°C
$139 交易量
15%
17°C
$0 交易量
10%
18°C
$15 交易量
3%
19°C or higher
$85 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high at 31% implied probability for Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C close behind at 22.5% and 15°C at 14%, capturing genuine uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an incoming Mediterranean low-pressure system. Recent model runs indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C due to persistent cloud cover, showers, and cool northerly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, diverging slightly on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. This setup marks a dip below mid-April climatological norms of ~15°C highs, driven by the past 48 hours' cooling trend from extratropical influences. New forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models tomorrow could refine the 1–2°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$1,029結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high at 31% implied probability for Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C close behind at 22.5% and 15°C at 14%, capturing genuine uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an incoming Mediterranean low-pressure system. Recent model runs indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C due to persistent cloud cover, showers, and cool northerly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, diverging slightly on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. This setup marks a dip below mid-April climatological norms of ~15°C highs, driven by the past 48 hours' cooling trend from extratropical influences. New forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models tomorrow could refine the 1–2°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,029結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 14°C high at 31% implied probability for Istanbul on April 19, with 13°C close behind at 22.5% and 15°C at 14%, capturing genuine uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models amid an incoming Mediterranean low-pressure system. Recent model runs indicate daytime maxima of 13–15°C due to persistent cloud cover, showers, and cool northerly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, diverging slightly on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. This setup marks a dip below mid-April climatological norms of ~15°C highs, driven by the past 48 hours' cooling trend from extratropical influences. New forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models tomorrow could refine the 1–2°C spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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