Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (29.5%) and 14°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18, reflecting the tight 1-2°C spread in latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid northerly winds advecting cooler Black Sea air and partly cloudy conditions capping solar heating. These models show some members with reduced cloud cover favoring slight warming to 14-15°C, while others predict persistent overcast skies holding maxima nearer 12-13°C, differentiating the leading outcomes. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this 12-15°C cluster, below the historical April average high of 15°C due to the current synoptic pattern of cool continental inflow. New model runs expected April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
13°C 30%
14°C 25%
12°C 19%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
9°C or below
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
6%
12°C
25%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
16%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
13°C 30%
14°C 25%
12°C 19%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
9°C or below
$175 交易量
1%
10°C
$137 交易量
7%
11°C
$269 交易量
6%
12°C
$214 交易量
25%
13°C
$59 交易量
30%
14°C
$71 交易量
29%
15°C
$51 交易量
16%
16°C
$288 交易量
8%
17°C
$152 交易量
1%
18°C
$168 交易量
1%
19°C or higher
$435 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (29.5%) and 14°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18, reflecting the tight 1-2°C spread in latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid northerly winds advecting cooler Black Sea air and partly cloudy conditions capping solar heating. These models show some members with reduced cloud cover favoring slight warming to 14-15°C, while others predict persistent overcast skies holding maxima nearer 12-13°C, differentiating the leading outcomes. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this 12-15°C cluster, below the historical April average high of 15°C due to the current synoptic pattern of cool continental inflow. New model runs expected April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
交易量
$2,020結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (29.5%) and 14°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18, reflecting the tight 1-2°C spread in latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid northerly winds advecting cooler Black Sea air and partly cloudy conditions capping solar heating. These models show some members with reduced cloud cover favoring slight warming to 14-15°C, while others predict persistent overcast skies holding maxima nearer 12-13°C, differentiating the leading outcomes. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this 12-15°C cluster, below the historical April average high of 15°C due to the current synoptic pattern of cool continental inflow. New model runs expected April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,020結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (29.5%) and 14°C (28.5%) as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18, reflecting the tight 1-2°C spread in latest short-range forecasts from GFS and ECMWF ensembles amid northerly winds advecting cooler Black Sea air and partly cloudy conditions capping solar heating. These models show some members with reduced cloud cover favoring slight warming to 14-15°C, while others predict persistent overcast skies holding maxima nearer 12-13°C, differentiating the leading outcomes. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance aligns with this 12-15°C cluster, below the historical April average high of 15°C due to the current synoptic pattern of cool continental inflow. New model runs expected April 17 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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