Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 交易量
$51,116 交易量
2026-04-18
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 交易量
$51,116 交易量
2026-04-18
15°C or below
$1,614 交易量
No
16°C
$1,193 交易量
No
17°C
$982 交易量
No
18°C
$1,898 交易量
No
19°C
$3,613 交易量
No
20°C
$2,953 交易量
No
21°C
$2,291 交易量
No
22°C
$8,904 交易量
No
23°C
$11,920 交易量
Yes
24°C
$10,692 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$5,058 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$51,116結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,116結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions