Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
22°C 32%
21°C 26%
23°C 23%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
26%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 26%
23°C 23%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
15°C or below
$720 交易量
1%
16°C
$620 交易量
<1%
17°C
$38 交易量
1%
18°C
$7 交易量
3%
19°C
$11 交易量
6%
20°C
$14 交易量
18%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$11 交易量
32%
23°C
$224 交易量
23%
24°C
$994 交易量
4%
25°C or higher
$406 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,044結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,044結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions