Recent South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlooks for April 17-18 indicate cloudy, cold-to-cool conditions with isolated showers across Cape Town, channeling trader consensus toward a maximum temperature of 15-18°C on April 18, well below the typical April average of 23°C. A cold front approaching from the west ushers in cool maritime air through southerly to westerly winds, fostering persistent low-level cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress daytime solar heating and insolation. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C (32%), 18°C (24%), and 17°C (20.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on cloud break potential—more clearing could push toward 18-19°C, while overcast persistence favors 15-16°C. Fresh SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 17 will sharpen this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 18?
18°C 33%
16°C 32%
17°C 22%
15°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
13°C or below
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
18%
16°C
32%
17°C
21%
18°C
24%
19°C
18%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 33%
16°C 32%
17°C 22%
15°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
13°C or below
$257 交易量
2%
14°C
$8 交易量
7%
15°C
$3 交易量
18%
16°C
$8 交易量
32%
17°C
$3 交易量
21%
18°C
$3 交易量
24%
19°C
$3 交易量
18%
20°C
$20 交易量
3%
21°C
$78 交易量
2%
22°C
$180 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlooks for April 17-18 indicate cloudy, cold-to-cool conditions with isolated showers across Cape Town, channeling trader consensus toward a maximum temperature of 15-18°C on April 18, well below the typical April average of 23°C. A cold front approaching from the west ushers in cool maritime air through southerly to westerly winds, fostering persistent low-level cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress daytime solar heating and insolation. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C (32%), 18°C (24%), and 17°C (20.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on cloud break potential—more clearing could push toward 18-19°C, while overcast persistence favors 15-16°C. Fresh SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 17 will sharpen this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ET
交易量
$687結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlooks for April 17-18 indicate cloudy, cold-to-cool conditions with isolated showers across Cape Town, channeling trader consensus toward a maximum temperature of 15-18°C on April 18, well below the typical April average of 23°C. A cold front approaching from the west ushers in cool maritime air through southerly to westerly winds, fostering persistent low-level cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress daytime solar heating and insolation. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C (32%), 18°C (24%), and 17°C (20.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on cloud break potential—more clearing could push toward 18-19°C, while overcast persistence favors 15-16°C. Fresh SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 17 will sharpen this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$687結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:04 AM ETRecent South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlooks for April 17-18 indicate cloudy, cold-to-cool conditions with isolated showers across Cape Town, channeling trader consensus toward a maximum temperature of 15-18°C on April 18, well below the typical April average of 23°C. A cold front approaching from the west ushers in cool maritime air through southerly to westerly winds, fostering persistent low-level cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress daytime solar heating and insolation. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C (32%), 18°C (24%), and 17°C (20.5%) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverging on cloud break potential—more clearing could push toward 18-19°C, while overcast persistence favors 15-16°C. Fresh SAWS advisories and model runs expected April 17 will sharpen this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions